Celtics vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 25

The Miami Heat (24-20) will look to break a four-game losing streak when they host the Boston Celtics (34-10) on Thursday, January 25, 2024 at Kaseya Center as 6.5-point underdogs. The contest airs at 7:30 PM ET on TNT.

 Celtics have had more success against the spread than the Heat this season, sporting an ATS record of 23-21-0, compared to the 19-25-0 record of the Heat.As a 6.5-point favorite or more in 2023-24, Boston is 16-12 against the spread compared to the 3-3 ATS record Miami racks up as a 6.5-point underdog.Boston and its opponents have exceeded the total 50% of the time this season (22 out of 44). That’s more often than Miami and its opponents have (18 out of 44).The Celtics have a .780 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (32-9) this season while the Heat have a .333 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (6-12).

In terms of points, the Celtics are dominating both offensively and defensively, as they rank fourth-best in the league in points scored (120.3 per game) and fifth-best in points allowed (110.6 per contest).Boston ranks best in the NBA by pulling down 47.4 boards per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranks 19th in the league (44 allowed per contest).The Celtics are putting up 25.6 assists per game, which ranks them 19th in the NBA in 2023-24.Boston ranks third-worst in the NBA with 11.4 forced turnovers per game. Meanwhile, it is committing 12 turnovers per game (seventh-ranked in league).The Celtics rank best in the NBA by sinking 16.2 treys per game. In terms of three-point percentage, they rank sixth in the league at 37.8%.

The Heat are the fourth-worst squad in the NBA in points scored (110.5 per game) but fourth-best in points allowed (110.5).On the glass, Miami is fifth-worst in the NBA in rebounds (41.6 per game). It is ninth in rebounds conceded (42.6 per game).With 25.6 assists per game, the Heat are 19th in the NBA.Miami commits 12.8 turnovers per game and force 13.5 per game, ranking 14th and eighth, respectively, in the league.The Heat make 12.4 3-pointers per game and shoot 37.7% from beyond the arc, ranking 16th and eighth, respectively, in the league.

 

 

Gideon Canice

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